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Last week the stock market experienced another week of losses. Trend reversals seem to be particularly broad in some sectors. The financial sector recorded the largest number of downgrades in US, UK and HK . Industrials is the second worst . Here is a summary of the downgrades across the sectors in key countries.
Forecasting accurately how far this negative phase will last is impossible. But it is possible to objectively monitor the evolution of price trends and prepare an action plan to limit the damage in case of trend reversals across the holdings in your portfolios. The Trendrating solution acts as strategic support to investment decisions, and is designed to contribute to more effective risk management.
The Mining Sector is showing that Momentum is building up. Back in December 2017 the percentage of Stocks showing positive Momentum was 44%. Right Now the number is 65% ( A + B rated Stocks ) it looks like in particular Gold Mines are coming back in favour, maybe as a Hedge against a potential correction in the broader Equity market.
In the last few weeks A number of highly respected fund managers called a Bear Market of historical proportion in Bonds. Bill Gross announced that he is short Bonds and Ray Dalio said that he expects a full crash. Now let`s see how Trendrating model rates Bonds and when the Rating was issued. Here below you can find a basket of 154 ETFs exposed to Fixed Income. According to our `Trend Capture` model today 62% of those ETFs are already in a Bear Trend, and this percentage is growing on a weekly basis.
The system detected 81 new stock trend changes over the course of the week! Overall weighted DM Europe momentum is B • Top momentum countries (80% or above): Austria, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Switzerland • Top momentum (largest market breadth) sectors: Financials and Basic Materials
The system detected 128 new stock trend changes over the course of the week. Overall weighted US market momentum is B+ • Top momentum sector: Financials, Industrials and Technology.
The system detected 151 new stock trend changes over the course of the week! Overall weighted DM Asia momentum is B+ • Momentum Evolution: South Korea experienced a significant improvement in momentum during the week. • Industrials, Financials and Technology have the highest upgrades over last week.
The system detected 47 new ETFs trend changes over the course of the week! • A significant number of equity ETFs were signaled to be entering the beginning of a new bear-phase. Negative outlook over the week!
The system detected 81 new stock trend changes over the course of the week! • Lower Momentum metrics in Spain • The most downgraded sectors are: Telecommunications, Technology, Oil & Gas and Utilities.
The system detected 458 new stock trend changes over the course of the month. • EMEA : Overall mkts weighted momentum is B- • ASIA : Overall mkts weighted momentum is B • AMERICAS : Overall mkts weighted momentum is B EMEA: • Top momentum sector: Oil & Gas ASIA: • Health Care had the most significant momentum improvement during the course of the month. There are 21 new upgraded stocks in this sector to exploit. AMERICAS: • Top momentum country: Brazil
The system detected 129 new stock trend changes over the course of the week. • Top momentum sector: Financials, Industrials, Technology and Utilities • The weakest sector is: Technology
1 – The system detected 38 new ETFs trend changes over the course of the week! 2 – Upgrades significantly exceeded downgrades over the week • Fixed Income was the most upgraded asset class among ETFs overall.