Markets touched yet another all-time high last month. The past year has been a gold mine for investors as benchmark & broader indices continued their momentum. The U.S. has been witnessing a bit of demand-led inflationary pressure, however it’s worth pointing out that rising inflation is synonymous with an improving economy and equities usually do well when inflation is at slightly higher levels but not too high. Most U.S. Sectors experienced ratings downgrades at a high ratio in July which is worth taking note of during the second half of the year. –Rocco Pellegrinelli, CEO of Trendrating
August Sector Allocations
Methodology
To arrive at our monthly Sector Allocations, we delineate the S&P 500 universe of stocks into five groups based on their Smart Momentum Score (SMS). Any stock that has retraced at least 20% from a trend high is considered an outlier. The sector allocation is then found by looking at the proportion of names within quantile one for each sector. To control risk, no sector can represent more than double its weighting in the index.
August Allocations
Over the last few months, the market has been driven by a handful of securities. The Trendrating model is heavily overweight Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Materials. Conversely, Trendrating identifies the sectors with the weakest trends as Information Technology, Communication Services, Consumer Staples, Health Care and Utilities. We are neutral on Real Estate and Energy which have a deviation of less than +/- 2% from the index weighting.
U.S. Macro Market View – July to August
Top Trending Stocks in the S&P 500
Methodology
Each month we distribute the Trendrating 100 list to our clients. We delineate the S&P 500 universe of stocks into five groups based on their Smart Momentum Score (SMS) and retracement value. Any stock that has retraced over 10% from a trend high is considered an outlier. This leaves us with a list of names in which our Model has high conviction. The market environment will dictate the number of names in the Top 100 list, but it will typically range from 80-100 companies. Here will be highlighting the Top 25 companies each month. Contact Trendrating for the complete list.
Trendrating Terminology
Rating Grade: A = Strong Bull Trend / B = Emerging Bull Trend / C = Emerging Bear Trend / D = Strong Bear Trend
Smart Momentum Score (SMS): is a continuous rating scale between -3 and 3, measuring the strength of the trend since that trend began. The metric allows the model to differentiate between securities of the same ratings, whether that is an A, B, C or D rated security.
Retracement: The percentage off the peak of the trend for positive trends or off the bottom for negative trends.
Additional Information
Trendrating Use Cases – An overview of the services we offer.
Trendrating Indices – Six Indices calculated daily and rebalanced monthly.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
Source: Nasdaq Inc.