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Commentary
Since about August 2014, Oil prices have been heading lower. From a high of about $114, Brent Crude dropped as low as $27.9 before recovering. Below is a one-year chart for Brent Crude from Trendrating. The graph clearly shows the steep fall in crude and the recovery, post March. Trendrating currently has a positive rating...
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What a wild ride it has been in equity markets so far this year. Recently, the British public voted to leave the European Union. This was a shock to markets as the remain camp appeared to have a slight lead in polls. Consequently markets sold off on June 24 when results were announced. Smart Momentum analytics,...
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Below is a selection of stocks, listed in the United States and highlighted by the Trendrating Smart Momentum Model. The stocks have the following characteristics: A rated – Strong positive momentum Young Trends – stocks only recently received their positive rating Out-performed the S&P 500 (SPX)since their positive rating Should make good investment candidates in the...
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In a difficult year for stocks, Retail has not provided particularly strong performance.While this sub-sector fell along with the general markets in January and early February, it’s recovery has been considerably weaker than the S&P 500. On a YTD basis, XRT (SPDR S&P Retail ETF) has returned about -3.56%. This compares to a 2.28% return...
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In a difficult year for global stocks, Gold Miners have been particularly strong performers. However, according  to this recently published article on Bloomberg (see link) most funds missed out on this rally. On a YTD basis, GDX (Van Eck Vectors Gold Miners ETF) has returned about 84%. This compares to a 1.1% return delivered by...
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8–11 May 2016 Palais des congrès de Montréal Montréal, Quebec, Canada #CFAInvest TRENDRATING – BOOTH #27 The flagship CFA Institute Annual Conference rotates continents and is one of the investment industry’s largest and longest running educational gatherings of investment professionals, attracting as many as 1,800 delegates from 70 countries and regions in prior years. A...
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US Technology stocks have continued their relatively poor start to 2016. At the time of writing, the Nasdaq Composite index is down 5.5% while the S&P 500 Index is up about 1.04% on a YTD basis. Exploring S&P 500 Gic Sectors, we find that Technology stocks are out performing only Financials and Health Care….again on...
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About a month ago, we released a report on Global mining stocks highlighting how this sector, after a long decline, was beginning to see a change in fortune (see link). Over the last month, as the S&P 500 index (SPX) as returned 5.45%, the SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) and the Market Vectors...
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The momentum effect – the fact that, over time, winning assets will continue winning and vice versa – is gaining in popularity as an investment strategy. Although momentum has not yet been fully embraced in all quarters, this is set to change as investors recognise the potential of this robust and persistent factor. The FT’s...
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  Smart beta strategies aim to improve returns, lower risk and increase diversification through a transparent, rules-based approach. Smart beta is the middle ground between active and passive management. Smart beta can offer low-cost exposure to one or several different investment factors including value, momentum, low-volatility, quality or size.  In recent years ‘Smart beta’ has...
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